Five Cents Ten Cents

Financial freedom, one realistic step at a time.

Fortune Favours the Bold: Taking Small Risks


Flickr image Sky Diving by Arty_Smokes

Flickr image "Sky Diving" by Arty_Smokes

My journey towards financial freedom has taught me a number of things. One of the key lessons I’ve learnt is to take small risks in life with my money and to be less attached to it. What do I mean by this?

Life is full of risks. When we get up in the morning, do we know if we’re going to be hit by a bus (*touch wood*) or to be able to get home safe and sound? In our quest for financial freedom, we are seeking to live within our means, to save and invest, to grow and protect our means.

Risks and Opportunities (Different Sides of the Same Coin?)

The saving and especially investing part of the financial freedom journey entails risks. When you take some of your savings and invest it in the stock market. You risk the amount being invested becoming zero if the company collapses due to fraud, irregularities or mis-management. You also take a risk (or opportunity) that the amount being invested grows by more than the low 0.1% to 0.5% interest that is being paid on savings and even fixed deposits.

Opportunity is the flip side of risk. To be safe, avoiding risks and parking your savings in fixed deposits, treasury bills or savings is not a wrong strategy. It is a strategy that can work if you keep on working and conscientiously saving until you have enough and have hit your own goal of  financial freedom (e.g. to have $1 million investible savings by certain age).

I too am relying on this strategy, except that the amount I park in fixed deposits, treasury bills and savings is lower because I invest (and also speculate) in equities for the higher return. In return, I have to accept the higher risks associated with investing in shares.

Take for example my speculative punt on UOB, I bought 1 lot at $18.72 and it went downhill to low $18 before rebounding to the current $19.50 levels. This is a net profit (after brokerage fees etc.) of 3.44% for holding the share for 1 month plus. Even if I parked my funds in a fixed deposit for 1 year I cannot achieve 3.44% returns.

It is risky in that if I did not have holding power and if the US stock market had tanked, I’ll probably be stuck in UOB. But I took a risk and believed that intrinsically, UOB could hit $20 within the next few months and thus I bought when its price dipped a lot from $19+ levels to $18.72.

This example doesn’t show that I’m a good investor or that I can pick correct stock picks. I am just lucky but I am also taking the risk knowing how the price of UOB moves around the $18-$19 levels based on current market conditions.

Risk and Rewards

So risk taking can be rewarding. But if you notice, this one punt is not my entire savings. My entire investible capital is never 100% invested in one asset class or another, I do set limits on how much of my investible savings can be put in equities.

For the time being, I’ve parked some of it in equities because I think the returns will exceed putting them in the bank. Also, I will need to raise money for the purchase of my new place in May so will need to liquidate a significant amount of it before May. The stock market is liquid enough to obtain above fixed deposits returns until then. Of course, these returns are totally not guaranteed and one needs to time the exit since cash would be required then.

Learning more about financial freedom has made me less risk adverse and more willing to take risks within my own knowledge, experience and risk tolerance.

I’ve paid some tuition fees to the stock market and learn more about how to take small gains here and there to beat the fixed deposits returns.

What calculated risks will you consider in your quest towards financial freedom?

Share with Panzer in the comments section.

Be well and prosper.

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  • Lawrence says:

    I have been investing since 1988. And till today I can’t resist doing like what you are doing with “UOB-Very short-term investing”.But just a little. And at the end of the day, when the Market is heading to new peak, I will regret.Because I usually purchase stocks quite aggressively when the Market’s Indexes is at the lower end. And continue buying average-down even after the Markets crashed. Then I hold till Sun shines again. If I am lucky 1 to 2 year- time. If not maybe 3 to 6 year-time. Then I repeat the “cycle”
    My way of investing in stocks scared the hell out of me in the beginning. But in the beginning I was using “CPF” money which can see but cannot touch.
    Now, if I still follow completely the beginning way of investing, my “Portfolio” will show much more profit. Instead my YTD profit is hovering around 5 to 7 % .

    20/03/2010 at 1:15 pm
  • Lawrence says:

    I have been investing since 1988. And till today I can’t resist doing like what you are doing with “UOB-Very short-term investing”.But just a little. And at the end of the day, when the Market is heading to a new peak, I will regret.Because I usually purchase stocks quite aggressively when the Market’s Indexes is at the lower end. And continue buying average-down even after the Markets crashed. Then I hold till Sun shines again. If I am lucky 1 to 2 year- time. If not maybe 3 to 6 year-time. Then I repeat the “cycle”
    My way of investing in stocks scared the hell out of me in the beginning. But in the beginning I was using “CPF” money which I could see but cannot touch.
    Now, if I still follow completely the beginning way of investing, my “Portfolio” will show much more profit. Instead my YTD profit is hovering around 5 to 7 % . Why?
    Because now I am using $$$Cash. Also I am old already. I can’t afford to take too much “risks”.
    Thanks, for allowing me to comment in your blog.

    20/03/2010 at 1:24 pm
  • Everlearning says:

    Hi Panzer,

    I haven’t reached your level of doing short-term investing. But, throughout my one and three-quarters’ years in the stock market, I have acquired a little knowledge of how it works, whether rationally or irrationally.

    My best stock picks are those that give regular dividends and that are purchased at a lower price than the current price. If a stock price suddenly being pushed up to a much higher price than the purchased price, I would sell it to receive dividends paid in advance for two or three years. I have listed them in my watch-list now and waiting to buy back.

    I am prepared to face market fluctuations. Although one cannot control the market directions, one can take certain caculated risks and measures to prevent losses in investments. Self-discovery and understanding of one’s investments are far better than to invest blindly with the banks or financial institutions.

    21/03/2010 at 12:13 pm
  • Createwealth8888 says:

    Hi Everlearning,

    You are wise to do this: “sell it to receive dividends paid in advance for two or three years. I have listed them in my watch-list now and waiting to buy back.”

    You can survive in the long run if you are mentally prepared to face market fluctuations.
    .-= Createwealth8888´s last blog ..Higher Tuition Fee at University of Technology and Design (SUTD) =-.

    21/03/2010 at 2:45 pm
  • musicwhiz says:

    Hi Panzer,

    It’s been a while since I left a comment on your blog. Glad to know you’ve been doing a lot of thinking and also re-calibrating your journey towards FF.

    I am really not into short-term punting/trading. so I cannot comment on that. I am probably so lousy at it that I will consistently lose money if I started attempting it! LOL! So for me, I stick very strictly to value investing with a long-term horizon, with periodic updates on the companies I own to see that their business is still doing fine.

    For me, the “risks” I am taking is to sink my money into well-run, cashh-rich and cash flow positive companies to enjoy good dividend yield and possible potential capital appreciation. It’s definitely better than leaving my money in the bank to rot. But of course I also keep standby funds of 24 months of living expenses, and in my CPF I keep enough buffer for 6 months of HDB installment payments.

    So my target is 5% yield for FY 2010. Based on my current portfolio cost of $150,000, that’s about $7,500 per year or $625 per month. A good form of passive income, and I hope to increase this in future through more prudent investing.

    Cheers,
    Musicwhiz

    21/03/2010 at 4:15 pm
  • Panzer says:

    Hi Lawrence

    Thanks for sharing on your investment strategy. The one thing I realised from my last 6-7 years in learning to invest my own money is that I cannot outperform the market. But so far, I managed to outperform 2 x fixed deposits which is my benchmark returns.

    I know that making money consistently by punting is challenging and hence I pick my punts carefully. Having said that, I have incurred realised losses of $15k last year but was fortunate that it was more than offset by realised gains (e.g. lucked out in SPC and other counters).

    In the end, I realise my financial freedom will come from my employment income but income from investments help grow my wealth faster than fixed deposits or treasury bills.

    Be well and prosper.
    .-= Panzer´s last blog ..Fairprice Plus Savings Decline to 0.2% (Balances Below $50k) =-.

    22/03/2010 at 9:04 am
  • Panzer says:

    Hi Everlearning

    I agree that doing one’s homework and being proactive with investing one’s money beats leaving it to the bank or financial advisor who knows less about you and your risk tolerance and goals in life.

    All the best for your stock strategy.

    Be well and prosper.
    .-= Panzer´s last blog ..Fairprice Plus Savings Decline to 0.2% (Balances Below $50k) =-.

    22/03/2010 at 9:05 am
  • Panzer says:

    Hi Musicwhiz

    Your value investing approach will stand you in good stead in 10-20 year horizon.

    Personally, I realise the limitations of investing for the long-term partly because my cash flow needs change over time. For instance, I have never planned to upgrade to a new home but found myself doing so.

    Ended up, I’m ploughing back my investible savings back into home equity which will be stuck so long as I stay in my own place. But the upside is that recent developments in the neighbourhood of my new place will see its value remain firm as a new development was launched at $1,000-$1,200 psf next door. I didn’t pay anywhere near that type of price for the old (new) condo that I’m moving into.

    I take things more easily as I go along in this journey towards financial freedom.

    Be well and prosper.
    .-= Panzer´s last blog ..Fairprice Plus Savings Decline to 0.2% (Balances Below $50k) =-.

    22/03/2010 at 9:09 am
  • Crumbs says:

    hmm….all the comments here seem to be focused on growing money through equity … any views on other asset classes suchs as property, currency – the RMB in particular, commodities etc?

    01/04/2010 at 9:42 pm
  • panzer says:

    Hi Crumbs

    Equities are more accessible in some regards than investments in property, currency and commodities.

    Property requires a relatively larger capital investment and hence can be out of reach for many. Currency and commodities are very speculative investments that need a higher level of involvement and expertise to be able to make and not lose money.

    For me, I have virtually zero experience in them. I have (and continue) to have a small amount in foreign currency fixed deposits (NZ) and learnt a lot from it. It is still in the red due to currency depreciation of NZD which more than offset the higher interest rate paid on such deposits.

    There are many books in the library to help one learn about different asset classes.

    Be well and prosper.

    04/04/2010 at 3:38 pm
  • panzer says:

    Hi Musicwhiz

    Great to see your targets for FY 2010. All the best in your endeavours towards value investing.

    04/04/2010 at 3:45 pm

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